It seems that conservatives are primed for Fred Thompson.
I'm about as excited as Ben Stein got on the Wonder Years.
Why the sarcasm? Fred Thompson might be the next great Republican, but he hasn't shown anything substantial in the least. Put simply, it seems to be that the Christian base is grasping at straws to try and avoid a Guliani President. Until now, the base has been spread out over a number of candidates at which they had huge problems. Romney's Flip-Flopping, McCain's love of Liberals, and finally the social liberal they want to avoid, Guliani.
I can't say I'm against Fred Thompson because he doesn't have a platform...but its for that reason I can't be for him either. The Thompson surge is easy to explain...there's just no other viable Republican alternative.
Prediction: Fred Thompson will continue to surge, and then begin to fail into the fall/winter. Guliani will continue to lead but be vulnerable until the Primaries. Guliani will win the nomination not because of his strength, but because the rest of the field isn't strong enough to take advantage.